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Macy's (Macy's) Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF : 5.47 (As of Apr. 27, 2024)


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What is Macy's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF?

As of today (2024-04-27), Macy's's current share price is $18.43. Macy's's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Jan. 2024 was $3.37. Macy's's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF for today is 5.47.

The historical rank and industry rank for Macy's's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF or its related term are showing as below:

M' s Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.4   Med: 9.48   Max: 26.87
Current: 5.47

During the past years, Macy's's highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF was 26.87. The lowest was 1.40. And the median was 9.48.

M's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is ranked better than
77.24% of 435 companies
in the Retail - Cyclical industry
Industry Median: 13.15 vs M: 5.47

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

Macy's's adjusted free cash flow per share data for the three months ended in Jan. 2024 was $3.228. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is $3.37 for the trailing ten years ended in Jan. 2024.

Shiller PE for Stocks: The True Measure of Stock Valuation


Macy's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Macy's's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Macy's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Chart

Macy's Annual Data
Trend Jan15 Jan16 Jan17 Jan18 Jan19 Jan20 Jan21 Jan22 Jan23 Jan24
Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 4.64 4.60 6.75 6.30 5.43

Macy's Quarterly Data
Apr19 Jul19 Oct19 Jan20 Apr20 Jul20 Oct20 Jan21 Apr21 Jul21 Oct21 Jan22 Apr22 Jul22 Oct22 Jan23 Apr23 Jul23 Oct23 Jan24
Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 6.30 4.45 4.60 3.42 5.43

Competitive Comparison of Macy's's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF

For the Department Stores subindustry, Macy's's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Macy's's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Distribution in the Retail - Cyclical Industry

For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Macy's's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Macy's's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.



Macy's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Calculation

Like the Shiller PE Ratio, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF takes the Free Cash Flow per Share from the past 10 years, adjusts it for inflation, and then calculates the average. This average is then used for the P/FCF calculation. Because it considers this 10-year average, it's often referred to as the CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller to measure the valuation of the overall market. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF.

Macy's's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF for today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/ Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=18.43/3.37
=5.47

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Macy's's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Jan. 2024 is calculated as:

For example, Macy's's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Jan. 2024 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare=Free Cash Flow per Share/CPI of Jan. 2024 (Change)*Current CPI (Jan. 2024)
=3.228/129.4194*129.4194
=3.228

Current CPI (Jan. 2024) = 129.4194.

Macy's Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201404 -0.070 100.023 -0.091
201407 0.851 100.520 1.096
201410 -0.506 100.176 -0.654
201501 4.376 98.604 5.744
201504 -0.548 99.824 -0.710
201507 0.226 100.691 0.290
201510 -1.362 100.346 -1.757
201601 4.549 99.957 5.890
201604 -0.702 100.947 -0.900
201607 1.079 101.524 1.375
201610 -1.574 101.988 -1.997
201701 4.100 102.456 5.179
201704 0.196 103.167 0.246
201707 0.372 103.278 0.466
201710 -1.060 104.070 -1.318
201801 4.447 104.578 5.503
201804 0.427 105.708 0.523
201807 0.013 106.324 0.016
201810 -1.230 106.695 -1.492
201901 3.369 106.200 4.106
201904 -0.970 107.818 -1.164
201907 0.485 108.250 0.580
201910 -1.572 108.577 -1.874
202001 3.500 108.841 4.162
202004 -1.043 108.173 -1.248
202007 0.090 109.318 0.107
202010 0.495 109.861 0.583
202101 1.044 110.364 1.224
202104 1.240 112.673 1.424
202107 1.067 115.183 1.199
202110 -0.889 116.696 -0.986
202201 5.439 118.619 5.934
202204 -0.045 121.978 -0.048
202207 -0.959 125.002 -0.993
202210 -0.778 125.734 -0.801
202301 2.927 126.223 3.001
202304 -0.688 127.992 -0.696
202307 -0.373 128.974 -0.374
202310 -1.073 129.810 -1.070
202401 3.228 129.419 3.228

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.


Macy's  (NYSE:M) Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Explanation

Compared with the regular Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow, which works poorly for cyclical businesses, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF smoothed out the fluctuations of free cash flow during business cycles. Therefore it is more accurate in reflecting the valuation of the company.

If a company has consistent business performance, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF should give similar results to regular Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow.


Macy's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Macy's's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Macy's (Macy's) Business Description

Industry
Address
151 West 34th Street, New York, NY, USA, 10001
Founded in 1858 and based in New York City, Macy's operates about 550 stores under the Macy's nameplate, nearly 60 stores under the Bloomingdale's (full-price and outlet) and Bloomie's nameplates, and 158 freestanding Bluemercury specialty beauty stores. Macy's also operates e-commerce sites and licenses two Bloomingdale's stores in the United Arab Emirates and Kuwait. Women's apparel, accessories, shoes, cosmetics, and fragrances composed 61% of Macy's 2022 sales.
Executives
Adrian V Mitchell officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O MACY'S, INC., 151 WEST 34TH STREET, NEW YORK NY 10001
Paul Griscom officer: Interim Principal Acctg. Offr. C/O MACY'S, INC., 145 PROGRESS PLACE, SPRINGDALE OH 45246
Danielle L. Kirgan officer: Chief Human Resources Officer C/O MACY'S, INC., 151 WEST 34TH STREET, NEW YORK NY 10001
Garcia C Elisa D officer: Chief Legal Officer 151 WEST 34TH STREET, NEW YORK NY 10001
Jeffrey Gennette officer: Chief Merchandising Officer C/O MACY'S, INC., 151 WEST 34TH STREET, NEW YORK NY 10001
Antony Spring officer: Chairman & CEO, Bloomingdale's C/O MACY'S, INC., 7 WEST SEVENTH STREET, CINCINNATI OH 45202
Naveen K. Chopra director C/O 2160 GOLD STREET, SAN JOSE CA 95002
Emilie Arel director C/O CASPER SLEEP INC., 175 GREENWICH ST., THREE WORLD TRADE CENTER, FLOOR 39, NEW YORK NY 10007
Jill Granoff director LIZ CLAIBORNE, INC., 1441 BROADWAY, NEW YORK NY 10018
Marie A Chandoha director C/O THE CHARLES SCHWAB CORPORATION, 211 MAIN STREET, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94105
Ashley Buchanan director C/O THE MICHAELS COMPANIES, INC., 8000 BENT BRANCH DRIVE, IRVING TX 75063
Tracey Zhen director C/O MACY'S, INC., 145 PROGRESS PLACE, SPRINGDALE OH 45246
John T. Harper officer: Chief Operations Officer C/O MACY'S, INC., 151 WEST 34TH STREET, NEW YORK NY 10001
Paul C Varga director 850 DIXIE HIGHWAY, LOUISVILLE KY 40210
Felicia Williams officer: EVP,Controller/Enterprise Risk C/O MACY'S, INC., 151 WEST 34TH STREET, NEW YORK NY 10001